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J.M. HURST CYCLE TRADING
WITHOUT THE ROCKET MATH
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JM HURST - CYCLE TRADING
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Around 1970 a California rocket scientist and a small group of wealthy investors rented time on a mainframe computer to do original stock market research. 30,000 hours later the rocket scientist of the group, physicist and aerospace engineer, J.M. Hurst, published the results (or at least so much as they wanted to
disclose) of his research in a technical analysis classic, The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing. Ironically, the best book ever written about
stock market cycles became available during the deepest and most extended Bear Market since the Great Depression. Brokers couldn't give stock away in a Wall Street lunchroom. There was no market for
a book by a stock market timer, and the book became a hidden treasure. |
JM Hurst was a very private man. He personally taught a stock market course for a year or so but, other than that, he never published a
stock market newsletter, he never gave interviews, and he never promoted his discovery. By the time stock market investing became sexy again, in the early 80s, JM Hurst was long forgotten old news. His
technical analysis techniques were too complicated and too math intensive for the average stock market trader, and too bourgeois for the new class of quants and trading system junkies that treated anything to do with moving averages with
the same disdain as green eyeshades. Too bad for them. Hurst proved that
with the right understanding and technique that certain moving averages
could be used to forecast price and time with stunning accuracy.
The full monty Hurst Method is still pretty intensive and folks who spend $3,000 on a trading platform aren't going to be very keen about using it to plot moving averages. You shouldn't be concerned about any of that. Deep within his
original market research JM Hurst left us with a
stock market timing and trading technique that is so good and so easy to implement that it's like ethical cheating.
The principle is easy to understand and to use, and it can be
implemented on almost any trading platform.
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