September 28, 2007

Love the Coffee…Hate the Stock

Filed under: Stocks & ETF, Technical Analysis, Trading Technique — Adam Hewison @ 11:37 am

I have to admit, I love this company’s product, but I hate the market action of their stock.

The company that is being discussed today is Starbucks. I am sure that if you drink coffee you’ve had one of their tasty coffee brews.

How can I love their Coffee Frappuccino Grande and hate their stock?

Well it all started in January of this year when one of our major Triangle indicators flashed a major trend change. This indicator is one we watch very carefully as it usually indicates significant move in the future.

On January 26th of this year our Triangle indicators issued a sell on Starbucks at 33.65. Since then the stock has evaporated down to the 27 level.

Is the downward move over? According to our triangle indicators I have to say no. I have just finished a new video that details exactly where we think this stock is headed.

Here’s the 5 minute Starbucks video

September 27, 2007

How to pick WINNING Futures…

Filed under: Futures Trading, Trading Technique — tradingfives @ 8:51 am

This video shows EXACTLY how to pick [tag]winning Futures Trades[/tag] using MarketClub.

Click here or on chart to see video

Millionaire Traders (New Release)

Filed under: Forex Trading, Futures Trading, Stock Market, Trading Technique — tradingfives @ 8:22 am

Millionaire Traders: How Everyday People Are Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game

List Price: $39.95
Buy New: $21.34
You Save: $18.61 (47%)

Editorial Reviews:

Trading is a battle between you and the market. And while you might not be a financial professional, that doesn’t mean you can’t win this battle.

Through interviews with twelve ordinary individuals who have worked hard to transform themselves into extraordinary traders, [tag]Millionaire Traders[/tag] reveals how you can beat Wall Street at its own game.

Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this book introduces you to a dozen successful traders-some who focus on equities, others who deal in futures or foreign exchange-and examines the paths they’ve taken to capture considerable profits.

With this book as your guide, you’ll quickly become familiar with a variety of strategies that can be used to make money in today’s financial markets. Those that will help you achieve this goal include:

Tyrone Ball: trades Nasdaq stocks almost exclusively, and his ability to change with the times has enabled him to prosper during some of the most treacherous market environments in recent history

AShkan Bolour: one of the earliest entrants into the retail [tag]forex market[/tag], he trades in the direction of the major trend, rather than trying to find reversals

Frank Law: a technician at heart, identifies a trading zone, commits to it, and scales down as long as the zone holds

Paul Willette: has mastered a method that allows him to harvest some profits right away, while ensuring that he can still benefit from an occasional extension run in his favor

September 26, 2007

Six Reasons Why You Need a Trading System

Filed under: Trading Mentor, Trading Technique — tradingfives @ 1:17 pm

(Rockwell Trading) – Every minute more than 150 Million Dollars change hands in the electronic [tag]index futures[/tag] markets like the e-mini S&P and e-mini NQ. You can win or lose thousands of dollars in a few minutes; the futures markets can make you rich in a few weeks or months or wipe out your account with no mercy.If you want to compete in the game of games and play against the best traders in the world, then you need to get ready. Too many gamblers are entering the arena without any plan or strategy, completely unprepared, and that’s why they lose.Trading a system will dramatically increase your chances to succeed in trading, because it eliminates five of the top six reasons why unprepared traders fail.



Rockwell Day Trading Coach

Millions of people are trading the markets right now, and millions of people are failing at it. So how do you win? What are the mysterious secrets to trading success? The answer: there are none. Trading isn’t about tricks or gimmicks. Trading is about commitment, dedication, and discipline. It’s about developing your system and sticking to your plan. Rockwell Trading


Here are the top six reasons why traders fail, and how a trading system eliminates them

Let’s take a look at the reasons why traders lose money:

1. Lack of a Trading Plan
2. Lack of Discipline to Follow the Plan
3. Failure to Control Emotions
4. Failure to Accept and Limit Losses
5. Lack of Commitment
6. Over-Trading

By all means you have to avoid these mistakes if you want to win.Here’s how a [tag]trading system[/tag] eliminates 5 of the 6 top reasons why traders fail:

Solution #1: Having a trading plan

Having a trading system means having a pre-defined set of rules you have developed to guide your trading. Therefore you HAVE a trading plan, eliminating the No.1 cause for failure.

Solution #2: Following the trading plan

The easiest way to follow a trading plan is to automate it. Almost every trading system can be automated, and you could let the computer trade for you. You won’t have to worry about your discipline any longer, as the computer mechanically trades every setup for you.

Solution #3: Controlling emotions

Trading with a system removes emotions from trading. If you don’t have a strategy and you try to make decisions when the market is moving, you are liable to become emotionally attached to positions. You may experience panic and indecision when the market does not move in your favor, as you do not have a prepared response. That’s when most traders lose their money. If you follow a system you will know what to do no matter what the market does.

Solution #4: Controlling your losses

You probably have heard the saying Let your profits run. Unfortunately most traders let their losses run. A trading system will get you out of a position when the predefined stop is hit. Unless you override the system to give the trade a little bit more room it will stop the loss and therefore limit your losses.

Solution #5: Commitment

You won’t believe how many traders show a lack of commitment and therefore lose money. Lack of commitment means that they stop trading after the first loss, and don’t give their system a chance to make back the money they lost. Trading is not a one-way street, and losses are part of our business. If you can’t accept the fact that there will be losses, you shouldn’t trade. Fortunately a trading system can help you to overcome this problem; an automated trading system continues trading according to the rules, and therefore adds much more consistency to your trading.

As you can see, Five of the six top reasons why traders lose money in the markets are simply eliminated when you start trading with a system. Without any guarantee, your chances of making money rise incredibly when starting with a profitable trading system.

Forex Options Trading

Filed under: Forex Trading, Trading Technique — tradingfives @ 9:17 am

I am seeing ads for [tag]forex option trading[/tag] from the Philadelphia Stock Exchange fairly frequently lately. As much as I would like to be able to trade forex options (and interest rate options) out of my regular stock brokerage account the dismal lack of volume and liquidity makes it a dangerous proposition for the small speculator. If you have ever traded XAU options on PHLX then you probably know what I mean about getting your stops run as blatantly as if by an ambulance chasing lawyer.

September 22, 2007

How To Prepare for a Crash

Filed under: Elliott Wave, Trading Technique — Elliott Wave International @ 11:33 am

Not everyone cares to prepare for a financial environment that will be different from the current bullish one. Just as surely, most people don’t want to think about an economic recession. But recent follies in the credit and debt markets have turned some people’s minds to the strong possibility of a recession in the United States. For instance, here’s the lead from a recent story in the Financial Times, “The R-word Surfaces on Wall Street”:

The R-word is usually avoided by Wall Street’s economists. It tends to be a conversation-stopper when investment bank clients are told to prepare for the worst.

“It is like looking a client in the eye and telling them that their child is ugly,” says David Rosenberg, chief economist at Merrill Lynch. “It is not what people want to hear.” [Financial Times, Sept. 10, 2007]

If this is what people think about using the word, “recession,” just think how unwilling they are to talk about a depression. Well, Bob Prechter isn’t afraid to talk about a depression. In fact, he’s written a whole book about how to prepare for a deflationary depression, and now – while the stock market’s sun is shining, and people are making financial hay – now might be just the right time to read about how to prepare for a deflationary depression.

Excerpted from Conquer the Crash, You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression by Robert R. Prechter, Jr.

Futures Day Trading

Filed under: Day Trading, Futures Trading, Trading Technique — Mike Reed @ 11:23 am

When [tag]day trading futures[/tag], you enter and exit all positions in the same day – never carrying a position overnight. Since the overnight moves of the market are difficult to predict, many traders avoid risk by day trading. Ironically, the public believes that [tag]day trading[/tag] is the riskiest way to trade.

THIS IS A MYTH !

Some traders day trading futures, make 1 to 3 trades per day, trying to catch the major intraday moves. Others trade in-and-out very frequently, trying to “scalp” a small profit on each trade. (My style uses a unique blend of these two strategies.)

For those day trading futures, the Emini Stock Index Futures have become the most popular day trading vehicle because of their liquidity, leverage, and the ease of trading them online. You can go short or long with equal ease – unlike stocks where it’s easier to go long than short due to the “up tick” rule.

The time relationship of the eminis (and the “big contracts”) to the cash indices is important to understand. Let’s start from square one.

The S&P 500 stock index (the cash index, symbol SPX) is central to day trading futures. It has an Exchange Traded Fund (the “Spyders,” symbol SPY) that trades like a stock, but without the “up tick” rule. The price of the S&P 500 cash index moves up and down with the 500 stocks that make up the index. The SPYders follow the S&P 500 cash index very closely. You can trade Exchange Traded Funds such as the SPY (and QQQQ for the Nasdaq 100) online from home. But for day traders, they are not as favorable as day trading futures.

The concept of “futures” is a little confusing, but it boils down to this: the financial industry has turned the S&P 500 cash index into a “contract” that trades like a stock. The contract (or futures contract) has a price that goes up and down from one moment to the next. It has a chart that looks just like stock chart, and you can make money with it by buying low and selling high, or vice versa. That’s a complicated as it needs to be for now.

The “big contracts” or SP Maxis were invented first and they’re still around. With the big contracts, a lot of money changes hands. When the price of the SP Maxis moves one point, $250 per contract moves with it. The SP Maxi contracts trade in a literal “pit” where the traders, called “locals,” shout at each other, buying and selling for everyone who wants a piece of the action.

The locals are not public servants, of course, they make money for their own accounts. They have the advantage of being able to read each other’s body language and the tone of the other trader’s voices. They see what the strongest traders in the pit are doing. They have several other advantages too, their costs per trade are tiny compared to the public’s commissions.

The “locals” aren’t born as professional traders though, they learn to trade like everyone else, except they have a huge advantage in learning as well because they learn to scalp first! Their instant access and low commissions make this possible compared to others, but those day trading futures online can take advantage of scalping trades as well.

Scalping is basically limiting your losses to only one or two ticks while taking any profit you get as you get it. It’s easier than going for several points per trade, I’ve been using this strategy day trading futures with much success.

Locals also use the spread (the difference between the bid and ask price), to grab quick profits from orders that come in on either side of the market. This makes scalping easier for them.

In the past, all these advantages made it impossible for a “retail” day trader to be a successful scalper. It was insane to try. And to this day many traders have the idea that scalping is too difficult for the public because you have to compete against traders with an unfair advantage.

But all that has changed now. If you follow some simple, yet important guidelines then you too can be successful scalping and day trading futures online.

They took the concept of the Maxi futures contracts and came up with smaller contracts (the eminis) that move $50.00 per SP point instead of $250.00. This allows all traders, big and small, to trade the stock index futures.

But even more radically, they set it up so that the smaller contracts (the eminis) are traded only through computers. This was revolutionary, they bypassed the pit, taking away the advantage of the “locals,” and leveling the playing field in a way that has never been done before. And to level the field even more, retail commission costs fell like a rock. Today, any trader day trading futures with a small account can pay $4.80 per round turn (entering and exiting a trade).

This means that scalping is open to the day trading public for the first time in history. But most people who are day trading futures don’t even realize where the new advantage really is.

Scalping is one of the keys to making a living day trading futures as I do, because I follow a simple rule: “Every trade starts out as a scalp until proven otherwise” .

The SP emini futures became more and more popular and more liquid, breaking a lot of records along the way.

The SP Maxis futures and the SP emini futures are both derived from the S&P 500 index (symbol SPX), which, as I said, has an ETF that trades like a stock (symbol SPY).

So the question is – which of these is the leader and which are followers?

Today the emini futures track the Maxi contracts almost tick for tick, with the emini’s beginning to lead the Maxi’s at times, and also “overshooting” the Maxis at emotional extremes, such as the at the top of an intraday rally.

Both the SP eminis and the SP Maxis (the futures) lead the S&P 500 cash index by a variable amount of time, often in the range of a fraction of a second. Some people call this “the tail wagging the dog,” because the futures are derivatives of the stock indices, but call it what you want, the futures are leading the way.

The fact that the futures lead the markets makes their chart patterns more “pure” and reliable for support and resistance trading. This makes a huge difference to me.

I use the stock index futures (the eminis and Maxis) for calculating daily support and resistance areas, which are the basis of my own trading style – a style of trading tat has paid my bills and built my financial security for about 20 years now.

Mike Reed is author of TradeStalker’s RBI Trader’s Updates. He has been trading the Market for 23 years. His support and resistance numbers have been published on the internet since 1996. Mike’s nightly support and resistance zones are specific and incredibly accurate. He offers an unlimited free trial of his nightly TradeStalker RBI Trader’s Updates. “http://www.TradeStalker.com”

September 21, 2007

Political cartoons

Filed under: General Interest — FT.com - Money maverick @ 11:24 am

Londoner Geoffrey Buchler, 54, has amassed around 80 political cartoons over 25 years. They are mainly works by contemporary newspaper illustrators, and range in value from £300 to £5,000.

September 20, 2007

Free Trial Sign-Up Ends at 11:59 PM Thursday

Filed under: Trading Mentor — tradingfives @ 5:17 am

Thursday 11:59 PM is the last possible time for you to take advantage of MarketClub’s two week free trial that I’ve been telling you about. Many traders have already taken advantage of this free trial and I think you should as well!

It’s an opportunity to see the “Members Only” tools… the scan tool is to die for and better than most hedge funds have.

You should know:

1. They’ve never given away a trial like this before (just sign up – no credit card info).

2. They are planning special bonuses for trial members at the end of the trial (no clue).

Here is some feedback from some other users:

Bill from the UK:
“I feel as though I have stumbled into the promised land. It is such a shame we do not have such a comprehensive website here in the UK.”

Joy R.
“I didn’t think I’d be able to learn how to use MarketClub within two weeks, but after talking to one of their support people and watching their training videos I knew I could do it. Trust me, if I can understand the tools anyone can.”

This one from Steve:
“I am still spinning after perusing your website. Nothing short of incredible.”

Sign up for the risk free trial today as it will almost certainly help your trading/investing.

Using MarketClub data in the Tradingfives training software (without Excel).

Filed under: Trading Mentor — tradingfives @ 5:03 am

(1) Go to Data Central in MarketClub.

(2) Select a ticker symbol from your portfolio and click on the green icon on the right side of the page, or type in a ticker symbol in the entry box and click on the red icon next to the entry box.

(3) Depending on the symbol you may go to a page with a list of additional choices among Equity, Futures, Indexes, etc.

(4) After you make a final selection on the symbol/market you will be returned to the download page.

(5) Select a time frame. They all work the same in the training software.

(6) Select comma delimited. This is the default choice. Click “Download”.

(7) You will be taken to a browser page with the visible downloaded data.

(8) At the top of the browser menu select “Edit” –> “Select All”

(9) All the data on the page will become highlighted. Copy the contents to the clipboard. You can right click the mouse and select Copy, use Ctrl-C on the keyboard, or use the browser Edit–>Copy command sequence.

(10) Paste the data into a text editor (Notepad.exe or a replacement – see below).

(11) From the text editor do a “Save As” –> name the file “your-filename-choice.csv” and save it to a directory of your choice.

(12) From the training software file control panel be sure to click on the MarketClub option so the software knows what to expect.

Summary: MarketClub data downloads to a browser window and not a spreadsheet or text file. You must copy and paste the data from your browser window to another application that will allow you to save the data in a comma delimited format.

The easiest way to download from MarketClub into a format immediately useable in the training software is with a text editor. We recommend NoteTab Light which is a free replacement for Windows Notepad. You can download it here: http://www.notetab.com/download.php

If you are not familiar with MarketClub and their array of tremendous traders’ resources then Go to the MarketClub website.

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