Everyone trades a little differently. The trading method outlined below is MY personal approach to trading. This method has worked for me for the last 20 years, and has helped me to avoid big draw downs since the mid 1980’s. My trading strategy has helped me to make a good living trading.

It takes some time to learn my method of trading because it’s based on tape reading and getting a “feel” for the market. This is *not* about a fast,easy formula to “get rich quick” while you sweat out every trade. Instead, this is about developing confidence and trading consistently without fear and without big draw downs.

Here is my 10 Step Approach to Learning My Style of Trading:

1. Practice exiting trades at break-even, using a one-tick target, a two or three tick soft stop (mental stop) and a 1.5 point hard stop. Never *allow* the market hit your hard stop. Exit by moving your target toward your hard stop, not by moving your hard stop towards your target. With time, all of this must become a reflex. You won’t always be able to keep your losses down to 2 ticks, but only on rare occasions should you find yourself letting the market hit your hard stop. (”Rarely” means only about once every 50-100 trades after you get the hang of it.)

Even though your entries won’t be good enough in the beginning to make a profit trading these tight soft stops, your entries will gradually improve until you turn the corner and become profitable.

Learn exits and entries separately. Don’t let the one influence the other.

Taking losses this way takes dedication and discipline, so stick with it. It’s the key to confident trading. If you never take large losses (and rarely medium size ones), the fear of loss pretty much goes away, and your confidence grows. Especially after your entries improve enough to support a “scalping” type exit strategy.

2. Every trade *in all market conditions* begins as a scalp. Let me clarify this: if you’re in a choppy market and you’re looking to get small gains, like a point or so, manage your initial hard and soft stops *exactly* the same way you would in a quick trend or any other type of market. That means keeping losses as close to 2 ticks as possible, taking lots of break even trades and exiting every time the market doesn’t give you *instant gratification* (within a minute or so).

No matter what the market is doing, you must demand that it moves in your favor right after you enter, otherwise you get out as close to break even as possible. This means you’ll be closing a lot of trades near break-even within the first minute. This is the foundation of learning to trade for consistent gains.

3. Don’t worry about the commissions on break-even trades. If you do, you’ll hold on to losing positions, begging them to turn around for you. This is called *hoping.* In this business, this type of *hoping* is the kiss of death. Your money-making trades must move your way in the first minute or less. When trades don’t act right in the first minute, most of them will hit your hard stops.

So don’t get hung up on the fact that your broker loves you. Who cares if he/she makes a living?

Your concern is *limiting losses*. I care more about this than anything else in trading. (Well-timed entries make my tight soft stops possible, so they’re almost as important as the exits.)

4. Practice your entries until your timing is so good that you can *reasonably expect* the market to go your way immediately, before it goes more than 2 ticks against you. This is not easy at first, but if you stick with it, you’ll get it.

5. Practice fading the emotional extremes on your entries. (Fading means entering in the opposite direction of the market’s last move.) When an extreme NYSE-Tick (often above 1000 or below -1000) occurs at the same time the market accelerates into a support or resistance area, look for a price stall or reversal and fade the move. Fade the emotion.

6. Rarely, if ever, *chase* the market on your entries. Wait for a pullback to get onboard a trend.

I favor shorts over longs… I can get out of a short position quicker than I can get out of a long position. I don’t know why. I like to say that I “see gravity better than helium.” In the rare strong-trending markets where I may chase an entry, it’s going to be a down trend, not an uptrend. I don’t trust up trends enough to chase them. Maybe it’s just a personal quirk and maybe not. I honestly don’t know.

But it’s interesting to note that most (not all) professional traders I’ve met are Bears and prefer short positions over longs. You should give it some thought and find out which direction works better for you. Are your losses bigger on shorts or longs? Specialize in one direction and trade the other direction only when things are looking real good.

7. Never let a gain turn into a loss. This will mean getting out of most trades a little (or a lot) too soon. You just have to live with it. Swing for home runs (greed) will ruin your trading. There is no mechanical formula that I know of, (such as, “move your stop to break even after you get 3 ticks gain”) that will work. You have to develop a feel for how the market is acting at the moment, and use your feel to reduce your target or advance your hard stop. This comes with experience.

8. Develop a feel for the big picture movements of the market, not just the intraday action. Use the end-of-day market internals to analyze the market’s mood and develop a daily bias.

9. Practice does *not* make perfect. Only *perfect practice* makes perfect. I learned this in my younger years, pursuing a professional
baseball career. Perfect practice will keep your losses smaller than your gains in the trading business.

There are a lot of things involved in perfect practice. When you get tired, or when the phone rings, or whatnot, *don’t trade*. Always, *always* exit trades exactly the way I’ve outlined above on every trade in every market condition. Always *wait* for your pitch, the well-timed setup for entering. Don’t practice sloppy entries just because you’re bored. Only perfect practice will help you. Anything else just amounts to practicing bad habits.

10. Get a mentor. I traded for 6 years before I learned to keep my losses small. My trading turned around immediately after I met my mentor and talked to him on the phone for one week. Is there any serious profession that you can learn without a mentor? Maybe there is, but I don’t know of any. It’s certainly not trading.

About the Author

Mike Reed is author of TradeStalker’s RBI Trader’s Updates. He has been trading the Market for 23 years. His support and resistance numbers have been published on the internet since 1996. Mike’s nightly support and resistance zones are specific and incredibly accurate. He offers an unlimited free trial of his nightly TradeStalker RBI Trader’s Updates. http://www.TradeStalker.com

Technorati Tags: trading method, tape reading, exiting trades

One of the learning curves in using Fibonacci Ratios to trade is deciding which Fibonacci cluster is most likely to provide support or resistance. In our Fibonacci ebook we cover all the ways to use Fibonacci Ratios and we also include in the training software (fully explained in the book) a handy little tool that not only shortens that learning curve but is sometimes amazingly accurate in forecasting exact support and resistance levels well into the future.

Nick Barber, 42, who runs a sporting merchandise business from Felixstowe, has been acquiring early speedway memorabilia for more than 30 years. Today, he has a collection worth in excess of £80,000, possibly £100,000.

10 Lessons on The Elliott Wave Principle

Successful market timing depends upon learning the patterns of crowd behavior. By anticipating the crowd, you can avoid falling victim to the pitfalls over which most in the herd stumble.

Our EWI Basic Tutorial describes these patterns and explains how they relate to one another. Over the years, we have taught tens of thousands of people to use this powerful method of analyzing the markets.

This 10-lesson course is comprehensive, with the same content you’d receive in a formal training class. Your largest benefit is that you can set your own pace and review the material as many times as you like.

Join Club EWI free to get access to this exclusive Elliott Wave tutorial! It takes just a few minutes.

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The main indexes shook off a morning drop to close higher, but volume declined.The NYSE composite led with a 0.6% gain. The S&P 500 and Dow...

The principal indexes were moving higher in late trading, although they were falling short of intraday highs.At 3 p.m. ET, the S&P 500, Dow...

At EWI’s Message Board, readers often ask us to explain various “inter-market correlations.” Here’s a recent question: “If stocks and interest rates are going down, then why would the dollar rise [as you are forecasting]? Surely, if the first two events occur, the overseas investment in the dollar will reduce, not go up, which will drag it down?” When trying to answer a question like that, you could go a couple of routes. You could consider the “fundamentals” described in the question – or, you could take a look at a couple of charts.

The main indexes shook off a morning slide and were modestly higher in midday trading.Just past 1 p.m. ET, the Dow, S&P 500 and NYSE composite...

In the 1930s, Ralph Nelson Elliott, a corporate accountant by profession, studied price movements in the financial markets and observed that certain patterns repeat themselves. He offered proof of his discovery by making astonishingly accurate stock market forecasts. What appears random and unrelated, Elliott said, will actually trace out a recognizable pattern once you learn what to look for. Elliott called his discovery “The Elliott Wave Principle,” and its implications were huge. He had identified the common link that drives the trends in human affairs, from financial markets to fashion, from politics to popular culture.

Robert Prechter, Jr., president of Elliott Wave International, resurrected the Wave Principle from near obscurity in 1976 when he discovered the complete body of R.N. Elliott’s work in the New York Library. Robert Prechter, Jr. and A.J. Frost published Elliott Wave Principle in 1978. The book received enthusiastic reviews and became a Wall Street bestseller. In Elliott Wave Principle, Prechter and Frost’s forecast called for a roaring bull market in the 1980s, to be followed by a record bear market. Needless to say, knowledge of the Wave Principle among private and professional investors grew dramatically in the 1980s.

When investors and traders first discover the Elliott Wave Principle, there are several reactions:

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Disbelief – that markets are patterned and largely predictable by technical analysis alone
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Joyous “irrational exuberance” – at having found a “crystal ball” to foretell the future
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And finally the correct, and useful response – “Wow, here is a valuable new tool I should learn to use.”

Just like any system or structure found in nature, the closer you look at wave patterns, the more structured complexity you see. It is structured, because nature’s patterns build on themselves, creating similar forms at progressively larger sizes. You can see these fractal patterns in botany, geography, physiology, and the things humans create, like roads, residential subdivisions… and – as recent discoveries have confirmed – in market prices.

Natural systems, including Elliott wave patterns in market charts, “grow” through time, and their forms are defined by interruptions to that growth.

Here’s what is meant by that. When your hands formed in the womb, they first looked like round paddles growing equally in all directions. Then, in the places between your fingers, cells ceased growing or died, and growth was directed to the five digits. This structured progress and regress is essential to all forms of growth. That this “punctuated growth” appears in market data is only natural – as Robert Prechter, Jr., the world’s foremost Elliott wave expert and president of Elliott Wave International, says, “Everything that thrives must have setbacks.”

Basic Elliott Wave PatternThe first step in Elliott wave analysis is identifying patterns in market prices. At their core, wave patterns are simple; there are only two of them: “impulse waves,” and “corrective waves.”

Impulse waves are composed of five sub-waves and move in the same direction as the trend of the next larger size (labeled as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Impulse waves are called so because they powerfully impel the market.

A corrective wave follows, composed of three sub-waves, and it moves against the trend of the next larger size (labeled as a, b, c). Corrective waves accomplish only a partial retracement, or “correction,” of the progress achieved by any preceding impulse wave.

As the figure to the right shows, one complete Elliott wave consists of eight waves and two phases: five-wave impulse phase, whose sub-waves are denoted by numbers, and the three-wave corrective phase, whose sub-waves are denoted by letters.

What R.N. Elliott set out to describe using the Elliott Wave Principle was how the market actually behaves. There are a number of specific variations on the underlying theme, which Elliott meticulously described and illustrated. He also noted the important fact that each pattern has identifiable requirements as well as tendencies. From these observations, he was able to formulate numerous rules and guidelines for proper wave identification. A thorough knowledge of such details is necessary to understand what the markets can do, and at least as important, what it does not do.

You have only just begun to learn the power and complexity of the Elliott Wave Principle. So, don’t let your Elliott wave education end here. Join Elliott Wave International’s free Club EWI and access the Basic Tutorial: 10 lessons on The Elliott Wave Principle and learn how to use this valuable tool in your own trading and investing.

Technorati Tags: accurate stock market forecasts, Elliott Wave Principle

Stocks slipped, then recovered some in late-morning trading after an early kick-up. Trading was weak as big investors warmed the bench ahead of...