There is a new MarketClub video titled “Trading a Downward Trending Market” that shows how to find profit opportunities in a down market, including how you can go “Long” to go “Short” in your regular stock account without actually short selling.

After the end of video there is a pause after which you will be taken to the MarketClub front page (error in the video). From there click on the green triangle and you will go to a page from which you will be able to select from a variety of publicly available educational resources.

Elliott Wave International has a new video that supplements the recent blog posts on the trend in the USD. You must be a member of ClubEWI to watch the video. There is no cost and you can do that first here.

Keep An Eye On Longer-Term Trends

Having faith in your analytical method is critical. Let’s phrase this differently: Unless you actually use the method you’ve chosen, why did you bother to learn it? Watch Jim Martens, EWI’s Senior Currency Strategist, apply the method he chose, the Elliott Wave Principle, to examining longer-term trends using the euro/dollar (EUR/USD) and the dollar/swiss (USD/CHF).

Unless the world is coming to end we know two things (nearly) for certain:

(1) No trend continues forever
(2) The USD is not going to zero

Where the USD will stop its multi-year slide and begin to rally remains uncertain. The info and chart above are from MarketClub’s Trend Analysis and show that the buck is not likely to stop its skid anytime soon. For many of us who trade Forex a “long term” trend is about an hour in duration, but perhaps now is the time to also start focusing on the macro level. We showed an earlier chart relating the USD to the price of Oil. The inverse relationship also applies to Gold and every other commodity priced for international trade in USD so the value of the buck does have an immediate impact on our lives.

The majority of traders are looking for entries with a very high probability of success. Web sites and book stores are loaded with day trading advice to fill this “need.” Some of it’s pretty good entry advice. A lot of it is average, which is actually not a good thing. But good or average, if they are leading you to believe that “If you can find better entries, you’d be making money.” Than this is poor day trading advice, it’s a lie and they are taking your money and they are taking you for a ride.

Trading Rules that Work: The 28 Lessons Every Trader Must Master

List Price: $49.95
Buy New: $27.27
You Save: $22.68 (45%)

Trading Rules that Work introduces you to twenty-eight essential rules that can be shaped to fit any trading approach—whether you’re dealing in stocks, commodities, or currencies. Engaging and informative, Trading Rules that Work outlines the deeper psychology behind each of these accepted trading rules and provides you with a better understanding of how to make those rules work for you.

About 80 to 90% of price action is simply the losers liquidating their losing trades. When you begin each day, and before you place a trade, ask yourself this question: “Where is the loser?” pg 7

Well, it’s time to stop believing the lie. Stop paying for “sure thing” entry methods.

I write a market newsletter each day, giving my “game plan” for the next trading day. I’m as specific as possible including Support and Resistance levels that I will be buying and selling against, which provides you with great trade set ups nearly everyday.

I’ve been day trading futures for more than 20 years and I’ve developed a strategy that makes money consistently. I don’t promise overnight success, anyone who is really serious about wanting to learn day trading, realizes that it’s not a get rich quick profession. Yes, my method does include great entries, but most losing traders have decent entry strategies. My experienced day trading advice doesn’t focus as much on entries as it does on exits…

Offense doesn’t win this ballgame, defense does!

If you’re going to make it day trading the stock market, and actually be successful at it, you must understand why this is, and then you’ll program your reflexes to follow your knowledge.

Think of it this way…large corporations spend millions of dollars inventing boatloads of products that are worthless. But in the early stages of research and development, the company can’t tell which products will make money. If they take all their new products to market, and only a few sell, the few won’t offset the losers, and the company will go under.

Most new companies (about 95% by some estimates) fail. The same is true of traders, they want to be successful, but just don’t know how to go about it, which day trading advice should they believe, and who’s just trying to take their money .

But there is an upside to all of this, successful companies know a secret. They find a way to identify their losers in the early stages… and close the projects down quickly before losing a lot of money in the marketing process.

As James Surowiecki puts it in his book, “The Wisdom of Crowds”

“…companies place huge bets on losers all the time. What makes a system successful is its ability to recognize losers and kill them quickly.”

The same is true of stock trading strategies. Experienced professional traders place bets on losers all the time, but they know how to identify losers and kill them quickly before much (if any) money is lost.

I close bad trades well before my hard stops are hit, but anyone can do that. But, you also have to recognize your losers early. Otherwise you’ll be killing your good trades along with the bad ones.

Every successful trader I’ve met has a way of getting out early on bad trades. If you are day trading support and resistance, I can teach you how I do it. You may be able to find a way to do it on your own, but it will probably take years. I’ve been trading for more than 20 years, and publishing my day trading advice on the internet since 1996.

No matter which route you take, identifying and exiting losers is the key to trading.

I can give you day trading advice and specific trading tips to improve your entries. My strategies are time tested and I have been successful with my methods of trading for over two decades. What’s even better, I can show you intra-bar timing of your entries. And it’s true that the timing of entries affects your ability to recognize the losers before they hurt you. But it’s your ability to kill those losers quickly that really counts.

For the past 10 years Mike Reed has been writing a market newsletter each day, “The RBI Trader’s Updates“, giving his “game plan” for the next trading day.

MarketClub has a new video showing the inverse relationship between Crude and the USD/EUR cross. The relationship makes sense. Oil is priced for international trade in USD. As the value of the buck drops in relationship to other currencies oil producers raise the price to maintain purchasing power with respect to those other currencies. Watch the video.

How did the MarketClub Triangle Trading technology do on its oil trades? The remainder of the video takes a look back on some recent trading signals, tells you what combination of time frames MarketClub uses to set up an oil trade, and gives some insight into the likelihood of near term oil prices.

This bump is in case you missed the previous post about Elliott Wave International’s Market Myths Exposed 3-part video series. The videos turns conventional wisdom about the financial markets on its head, allowing you to think independently of the mainstream and call your own shots regarding portfolio management.

In these three videos – originally presented to a full workshop at the 2007 San Francisco Money Show– Elliott Wave International Chief Market Analyst Steven Hochberg, editor for EWI’s Financial Forecast Service and close associate of distinguished market forecaster Robert Prechter, debunks some of the most widely held market myths and answers some of today’s toughest questions for traders and investors.

MarketClub determines trend with a score ranking between -100 (bearish) and +100 (bullish). All buy and sell decisions start with trend analysis. The purpose of trend analysis, of course, is that you always want to trade with the trend and never away from it. The term of art for this method is Continuation Trading. There is also a case to be made for Reversal Trading, but that is a special situation where you attempting to hit the first few bars of a new trend.

You can still get a free trend analysis on almost any stock, eft, futures or forex symbol. Even if you do all your own technical analysis it’s always useful to get reliable input on trend.

After determining the direction of the trend you can also use MarketClub’s Triangle Trading technology (subscription only) to generate specific buy and sell signals. The link takes you to a video on how to apply Triangle Trading.