We’re often asked at MarketClub just how to play short-term pops. Regardless if you are look at stocks, futures, or the forex market, it’s always the same… MarketClub Alerts.

With these Alerts you are getting a warning of a major move. It’s not that you are reacting to fundamentals, it’s just that when the technicals align, you are the first to know.

You see, no matter what happens, what methods you use, or what markets you trade, the following is always true: If you’re the first to know, you’re the first to profit!

This applies to our trading strategy, MarketClub Alerts, and the steps we need to take to capture profits and stay on the winning side of those short-term moves.

Please enjoy the video, as always its with our compliments.

Brad Stafford
Director of Marketing
MarketClub

By Nico Issac

In case you hadn’t noticed: Over the past year of financial turmoil, the “safe haven” premium of precious metals has offered about as much support as a rubber ducky in a tsunami. Despite a string of powerful rallies, silver and gold remain well below their March 2008 peaks.

It goes without saying that the greatest opportunities in precious metals were not had by those who played the “disaster hedge” card; but rather by those who timed the trends as they developed, regardless of the fundamental backdrop.

Bob Prechter is in the latter group. Amidst the buzz and whirl of the most bullish backdrop in precious metals’ recent history, gold and silver prices soared to new, all-time highs and calls for a “New Gold Rush” and “$30 Silver” flooded the mainstream airwaves. Yet Bob alerted subscribers to an approaching top in the March 14, 2008 Elliott Wave Theorist.

“The wave count [in silver] is nearly satisfied, though ideally it should end after one more new high. If this analysis is accurate, and silver does peak and begin a bear market, gold is likely to go down with it.”

In the days that followed, prices in both metals fell off a cliff. In turn, Bob was asked to address his exceptional call for a turn down in a March 19, 2008 Bloomberg interview. Here are of excerpts from that conversation:

Bloomberg: “Why did you put out that call on Friday (March 14) about a peak in precious metals?”

Editor’s Note: You can download Bob Prechter’s 5-page report, Gold & Recessions, free from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.

Bob Prechter: “One of the reasons is that it seemed like an absolutely sure thing. We track several indicators of sentiment. One of them is the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI). That reached 98% bulls on a one-day basis going into this last high. We were tracking silver as well… as it is clearest in our minds. Now, at the time, we needed one more slightly new high. That happened Monday morning and silver dropped 15% in 48 hours. That’s a heck of a reversal and I think it’s real.”

“Real” indeed: From their March peaks, gold prices plummeted 34%, alongside a 60% sell-off in silver before hitting the breaks in October. Here, the October 2008 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast prepared for a corrective rebound and wrote:

“Silver traced out a five-wave decline from its March peak…Gold should also rally as silver pushes higher. Once silver’s rise is exhausted (initial target: $15.15), the larger downtrend should resume for both metals.”

A powerful, four-month bounce ensued in both metals: Gold prices came within kissing distance of its March peak before turning down on February 20; silver followed suit — a fulfillment of this bearish, near-term insight presented in the February 23 Elliott Wave Theorist:

“Silver has been clear as a bell. Silver is due to turn back down, and gold, which is back at $1000/oz, is likely to follow.”

Since then, it’s been a steady march lower for both metals. Obviously, EWI’s forecasts do not always prove this accurate. Yet in this case the analysis speaks for itself.

For more metals analysis from Bob Prechter, download Gold & Recessions a free 5-page report from Elliott Wave International. It features 63 years of historical analysis that reveals how gold, T-notes, and the DJIA have performed in recessions and expansions.

Robert Prechter, Certified Market Technician, is the founder and CEO of Elliott Wave International author of Wall Street best-sellers Conquer the Crash and Elliott Wave Principle and editor of The Elliott Wave Theorist monthly market letter since 1979.

By Mark Galasiewski

The following is excerpted from Elliott Wave International’s Global Market Perspective. The full 120-page publication, which features forecasts for every major world market, is available free until April 30. Visit Elliott Wave International to download it free.

Conventional wisdom says that central banks can influence or even direct financial markets and the macroeconomy. The very existence of Elliott waves challenges such assumptions. For if markets responded to every central bank directive, how could Elliott waves exist? Parallel trend channels, Fibonacci price relationships, the similarity of form between waves of different sizes and time periods—none of that would be possible. Central bank decisions would have to coincide perfectly with turning points in Elliott waves, and we know that just doesn’t happen. But even without using waves, we can expose the conventional wisdom for the fallacy that it is.

Take, for example, this assertion in a recent article in a U.K. economic weekly: “Part of the aim of central banks in driving down interest rates is to encourage a greater risk appetite among investors.” Two key assumptions underlie that statement: a) central banks determine interest rates; and b) lower interest rates can increase society’s appetite for risk.

To see how the first assumption is false, let’s take a look at the daily chart of Australian interest rate data. It duplicates a study that Elliott Wave International has often done with U.S. interest rate data. It shows how movements in the cash target rate set by Australia’s central bank, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), appear to follow those in 3-month Australian Treasury Bills. After decisive moves up in T-bills from 2006 to early 2008, for example, the RBA faithfully raised its target. T-bills have since led the RBA during the financial crisis of the past year. In fact, the record indicates that the RBA almost always follows T-bills over time.

The proper conclusion to draw is not that the RBA has orchestrated the decline in rates since the early 1980s—but that it’s been riding it. During good times, central bankers look like geniuses; during bad times, they get tarred and feathered. Closer to the truth is that their interest-rate decisions are not proactive, but reactive, and that they continually follow in the footsteps of the market for lack of any other useful guide.

Now let’s look at the second assumption: that lower interest rates increase society’s appetite for risk. A simple glance at the weekly chart shows this assumption to be false. After the 1987 crash, the ASX All Ordinaries actually rallied for two years on rising rates and then sold off through 1990 on falling rates. Stocks then rose in 1991 on continued falling rates and sold off in 1992 on even lower rates. Continue following the chart to the right and you will see that there is no consistent correlation between the direction of interest rates and that of the stock market.

The myth of central bank potency is so pervasive that conventional analysts can’t even imagine a better explanation for price trends: that the market is the dog wagging its central bank tail, not the other way around.

For more information, download Elliott Wave International’s FREE issue of Global Market Perspective, available until April 30. The 120-page publication covers every major world market, global interest rates, international currencies, metals, energy and more.

Mark Galasiewski is the editor of Elliott Wave International’s Asian Financial Forecast and member of EWI’s Global Market Perspective team covering Asian stock indexes.

Once each year or so, our friends at Elliott Wave International do something unheard-of in the world of financial analysis – they give it away for free!

But it always ends soon after it starts, so your time to get more than 100 pages of free analysis and forecasts on every major world market is running out.

This time they’ve upped the ante.

For the first time ever, EWI is giving away one month of its most popular global analysis publication, a 120-page “little black book” of investment insights called Global Market Perspective, which includes EWI’s three regional publications:

* The U.S. Elliott Wave Financial Forecast ($19/month value)
* The European Elliott Wave Financial Forecast ($29/month value)
* The Asian-Pacific Elliott Wave Financial Forecast ($31/month value)

PLUS, the 120-page book includes analysis culled straight from EWI’s professional-grade Specialty Services, each of which is valued at $199/month. This means you also get analysis and forecasts for the following global markets:

* World stock markets (China, Japan, Korea, U.S, France, Britain and more)
* Global interest rates (Australia, Europe, Japan, U.S.)
* International currency relationships (U.S. Dollar, Euro rates, Swiss Francs, Japanese Yen and more)
* Metals and Energy (Crude Oil, Gold, Silver, Natural Gas)
* And so much more!

This is truly a very rare occasion, and it only lasts for just a few more days. Whether you use Elliott or not, we highly recommend you stop by the webpage below and take advantage of this limited-time, completely free offer.

Learn how to get your free 120 pages of global analysis here
—————–
Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

I subscribe to a number of newsletters and info sources and get dozens of new financial product blurbs. The first thing I look for (if the information is available) is the refund rate. When the refund rate is 1% or less I get interested.

From what I can tell SupraStocks has a refund rate of about 1/10% so it passes the first test with flying colors.

The second test is the actual availability of refunds if a buyer wanted one. SupraStocks is sold through Clickbank so the refund availability is rock solid. I know from experience that Clickbank will make a refund for any reason at the customer’s request anytime during the first 8 weeks, whether the publisher wants to or not. The publisher is not even informed until after Clickbank makes the refund.

I do not know the technical indicators setting that Elliott Pearce is using in his SupraStocks software. But that’s OK too. I’m a big believer in simplicity so I’m not going to nit pick if it works for lots of people.

Suprastocks is a short term stock trading sytem. It makes specific long and short recommendations with initial stop loss points. It’s an online package so you can access it from anywhere without installing any special software on your own computer.

I also do not know if SupraStocks will work for you. Trading is such an individual and personal activity that I doubt I will ever make another specific recommendation for something I do not have years of personal experience with. Maybe it takes that long.

You can test it for 8 weeks without risking any money. The bonus package looks good too. You get to keep that even if you decide to get refunded on SupraStock.

Go to the SupraStock website.

After a spectacular rally from the lows seen last month, the S&P appears to be running into overhead resistance.

Is this the pause that refreshes, or is this the pause that reverses the market back towards the lows?

I have said for some time that I was not that confident that this rally would continue as our long-term “Trade Triangle” remained in a negative mode. In my new video I outline the key areas that I believe will shape this market in the coming weeks and months.

The video features our “Trade Triangle” technology as well as our Fibonacci tools. I will also remind you of a concept that has been around for a while, but one that you might not be aware of.

No matter what happens, you are going to see some extraordinary markets and some wonderful opportunities to make money in the next 6-9 months.

Some investors may be hoping for the best, but be prepared as we might see another dive. I highly recommend students of the market to take a few minutes and watch my latest video. Even if you’re a seasoned pro you may find what you see interesting and therefore profitable.

As always, my video come is complimentary with no strings attached.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

If you’re short on time, but still need to know exactly what the chart is saying, I recommend you watch the video below on a new Talking Chart system:

A patent is pending on this technology and the users of the Talking Charts have flooded the company with emails and phone calls of praise. The technology reads and analyzes the details of the chart, then dictates the analysis right to you. As an added bonus you’ll hear from 3 different HUMAN voices! No robots here. Just great chart analysis to go along with very powerful charts.

Watch the video below without registration or obligation, just information.

In this short video, I will take a look at Apple, Inc (NYSE_AAPL). I have to admit I love Apple products. I have an iPhone, an iMac and an iPod touch and several other Mac add-ons.

I have always loved their products, but I tend to be fickle with the stock. Thanks to our “Trade Triangle” technology, I have fallen in love all over again with Apple’s stock. I had been looking for this market to move lower based on the economic conditions and the market action, however this proved to be a false indication as Apple has moved to its best levels in quite some time.

I’ve just finished a new video on Apple, my first video on Apple in a while. Take a look and I’ll give you my thoughts and target zones for this very exciting stock.

The world has changed, it is not a buy and hold market anymore. You need to be nimble, trade with a game plan and be disciplined. Those are the key mantras of a successful trader.

As always, this video is with our compliments and there is no need to register to watch.

Enjoy.

Thanks,
Adam Hewison

President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

We haven’t looked at the British Pound (GBP) lately, as it has been in its major swing to the downside. The question is, Is the British pound ready for a reversal in trend?

In our new video, I delve into the depths of the British Pound, and take you step-by-step into my thought process and why we’re looking at this market right now.

Whether you’re a newbie or experienced trader, I believe you will benefit from this video. In the video we give you specific levels that I’m watching, and target levels that we expect the British Pound could achieve if it breaks over one key psychological level.

As always this video is with our compliments and there is no need to register to watch.

Enjoy the video.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

Fibonacci… it’s a technical tool that can make you rich.

You may have heard about Fibonacci, the man who discovered a set of numbers who that have a major affect on the market. So who is this Fibonacci fellow, and why are his findings so important in the market place?

The mathematical findings by this thirteenth century Italian man has yielded a useful technical analysis tool which is used in technical analysis and by scientists in a large array of fields. Born Leonardo of Piza, he is better known in the trading community as Fibonacci. Fibonacci’s best known work is Liber Abaci which is generally credited as having introduced the Arabic number system which we use today.

Fibonacci introduced a number sequence in Liber Abaci which is said to be a reflection of human nature. The series is as follows: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144 and on to infinity. The series is derived by adding each number to the previous. For example, 1+1=2 , 2+1=3, 3+2=5, 5+3=8, 8+5=13, and so on.

I use the Fibonacci series mainly for retracements (see today’s video) and to show me where support and resistance might come into the market. I also use this tool to enter or add onto a position.

In my new video, I show you these exact retracements and how they affected the market at that time.

There is no need to register for this video and of course you can watch it with our compliments today.

Enjoy the video.

Best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub