January 25, 2008

US Currency Fundamentals

Filed under: Forex Trading, Trading Technique — tradingfives @ 9:54 am

A well done Wall Street Journal article about US currency fundamentals. This is a tiny excerpt:

“The Fed took a gamble on inflation to ward off what was perceived as a deflationary threat in 2001-02. The inflationary consequences of that gamble are now here, with the petrodollar monetary merry-go-round fueled by the weaker dollar. Those consequences will be much easier to deal with now, rather than later. Unlike Japan, where the capital-markets risk was concentrated in a handful of thinly capitalized large banks, the very growth of the credit-derivatives market that is the source of the current crisis in the U.S. has also resulted in a wide dispersion of risk in the financial system, and any recession will likely be mild and short.” Read more…

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